One man's fight to get us off oil habit
By Steven Mufson
Washington Post
OLD SNOWMASS, Colo. — In 1976, Gerald Ford was president, Americans flocked to see "Rocky" (the first one), oil was $13 a barrel, and Amory B. Lovins wrote a massive piece in Foreign Affairs magazine declaring that the United States stood at a crossroads on energy policy.
The first path, he wrote, led to ever greater output of coal, oil and nuclear, a capital-intensive strategy dubbed "strength through exhaustion." The second path relied primarily on greater efficiency as well as the development of such alternative energy sources as wind, solar power and biofuels.
Thirty years later, the price of oil — even after adjusting for inflation — is almost twice as high, and what President Bush has called the nation's "addiction" to oil has grown more dire. But the answer according to Lovins is pretty much the same: It's a lot cheaper, easier and faster to save energy than it is to buy or produce it.
"Churchill said that you could count on the Americans to do the right thing once they had exhausted all other possibilities," Lovins said, recalling the British leader's eagerness for the United States to enter the fight against Germany in World War II. "You could say the same about energy policy."
One thing that anyone listening to Lovins won't lack is a sense of possibility. "He's like a Johnny Appleseed of ideas," said Gregory Kats, a former employee of Lovins, who now helps run the energy-consulting firm Capital E. With his reformulation of the energy issue, Lovins has been hailed as one of the country's most influential thinkers. As head of a nonprofit consulting and design group, the Rocky Mountain Institute, Lovins says new technologies would not only ease the oil crisis but could help bring the end of the oil era.
Sitting in the dining room of his home, which doubles as an office for the institute, the balding, mustachioed Lovins, 58, sounds like the Oxford University don he once was — before Oxford decided that studying energy wasn't a serious academic pursuit. He tosses out ideas on everything from more efficient military vehicles to commercial trucks, from decentralizing Iraq's utility sector to installing wind turbines in Britain, from making commercial buildings more energy efficient to improving automobile fuel mileage by using lighter materials for metal interior elements.
And he offers piles of studies, fistfuls of newsletters and a helmet made of light, carbon-nylon fiber.
"Our energy future is choice, not fate," says one of his studies, "Winning the Oil Endgame," which has glowing introductions by the likes of former secretary of state George P. Shultz and former Royal Dutch/Shell Group chairman Mark Moody-Stuart. "Oil dependence is a problem we need no longer have — and it's cheaper not to. U.S. oil dependence can be eliminated by proven and attractive technologies that create wealth, enhance choice and strengthen common security."
Sources familiar with his institute say that Lovins can command daily consulting fees of up to $15,000 to $20,000, a far cry from his days as an environmentalist.
"He's been fantastic," said Andy Ruben, vice president for strategic planning and sustainability at Wal-Mart. Lovins suggested that Wal-Mart get its truck drivers to stop using the main engine to air-condition their cabs while parked. Instead, he proposed using small, more efficient engines installed behind the fuel tank. Ruben says the change will save 10 million gallons a year for Wal-Mart, which operates 7,200 trucks, the second-largest private fleet in the nation.
Ruben said Lovins also introduced him to the idea of "phantom loads," electricity used by televisions, microwaves and other appliances while turned off. Wal-Mart may ask suppliers to redesign such devices. Lovins and his colleagues at RMI, Ruben said, are "big thinkers and have got a different lens they see things through." Lovins said he likes working with a company that can make decisions quickly and is big enough to have a real impact.
Lovins testified before Congress in March on energy independence. He says that the United States has saved three units of energy for every new one produced since the mid-1970s. "The most comprehensive threat to our national energy security is our current national energy policy," he says.
Unlike some environmentalists, Lovins remains adamantly opposed to nuclear power, which he says doesn't make economic or nonproliferation sense. New U.S. subsidies in last year's Energy Policy Act, he notes, "are equal to the entire capital cost of the next six reactors ... but is similar to defibrillating a corpse: It will jump but not revive."
Automobile efficiency is a key element in Lovins' vision for ending America's oil dependency. For years he promoted a light, aerodynamic "Hypercar" that he helped design, which he said got more than 100 miles per gallon. Ultimately, he said, it would run on a fuel cell powered by tanks of compressed gaseous hydrogen fuel. General Motors Corp. talked to Lovins but ultimately did not adopt it.
The goal is still to alter the automobile industry by making parts for lighter, more fuel-efficient cars without sacrificing safety. The Rocky Mountain Institute owns a fifth of FiberForge.
After 30 years, Lovins can seem quixotic in his quest for new energy policies and practices. As Lovins concedes, good ideas often lie fallow.
"He'll say you can do this in six years and in theory you could — if there were no such thing as reality," said a person who has worked with Lovins and spoke on condition of anonymity to preserve their relationship. "There are interests, and you need to net in half of what he says for starters, maybe. If you're a CEO, you'll bring him in, listen and wean out the ones you can do."